
A mobile home park floods where rising waters of the Little Sugar Creek meet the Ohio River on April 7 in Napoleon, Ky.

Ben Phillips scoops mud out a window of his house left in the wake of Hurricane Helene on Oct. 1 in Marshall, N.C.
It's not just Texas and North Carolina. Intense rain is falling more frequently in many areas of the U.S. 鈥 though where it occurs and whether it causes catastrophic flooding is largely a matter of chance, according to experts.
More than 100 people died in over the weekend after 12 inches of rain fell in just hours. The by warm, moist air left over from Tropical Storm Barry and Hurricane Flossie that created conditions for repeated thunderstorms in the same location, said Texas Climatologist John Nielsen-Gammon.
Last year, dumped more than 30 inches of rain on western North Carolina, triggering catastrophic flooding that washed away roads and homes, killing more than 100 people in that state alone. This week, flooding from the remnants of Tropical Storm Chantal prompted dozens of water rescues in other parts of North Carolina. And this spring, caused severe and deadly flooding.
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Although it can be聽difficult to attribute a single weather event to climate change 鈥 and hilly or mountainous terrain worsen flooding 鈥 experts say a warming atmosphere and oceans due to the burning of fossil fuels make catastrophic storms more likely.
That's because the atmosphere can hold 7% more water for every degree Celsius (1.8 degrees Fahrenheit), creating a giant sponge of sorts that sucks up moisture from bodies of water and vegetation. The moisture later falls back to earth in increasingly intense, unpredictable and destructive downpours.

Campers' belongings sit outside one of Camp Mystic's cabins Monday near the Guadalupe River in Hunt, Texas, after a flash flood swept through the area.
"It's just loading the dice toward heavy rainfall when the situation is right," said Kenneth Kunkel, a climate scientist at North Carolina State University.
Going back through U.S. weather station records dating to 1955, Kunkel found that rain over the past 20 years has become more intense in the eastern two-thirds of the country, including the聽southern Great Plains, where Texas is located. Intensities have remained the same or declined in the West and southwest.
At the 700 stations that聽began collecting data in the late 19th and early 20th centuries, the highest proportion of two-day rainfall records have been set in just the past 10 years, Kunkel said, though that doesn't fully reflect most Western stations, which were established later.
Nielsen-Gammon said the overall intensity of extreme rainfall in Texas has increased by 15% over the past 40 to 50 years.
Still, it's almost impossible to predict where the most catastrophic rain will fall in any given year, Kunkel said.
"This month was the Texas聽Hill Country's turn to get hit. Last fall ... in western North Carolina, it was our turn," Kunkel said, adding that just because an area was spared over the past 20 or 30 years, it "doesn't mean that they aren't vulnerable. ... They got lucky."
The worst flooding and greatest聽loss of life in Texas occurred in Kerr County, in an area known as "flash flood alley" because of its steep terrain that funnels water to the Guadalupe River, a popular recreational area.

Search and rescue teams from the Kerrville Fire Department look through debris Tuesday after flooding near the banks of the Guadalupe River in Kerrville, Texas.
Though the county did not get聽the most rain from the storms, the "distribution of rainfall was one of the worst possible patterns" because the most intense downpours were over the headwaters of the south fork of the Guadalupe River, causing water to rush into areas where hundreds of people, including children, were camping, said Nielsen-Gammon.
If the epicenter had been 10 miles north or south, the rain would have been divided among different river basins, he said. If it had been farther downstream, larger floodplains would have absorbed and slowed much of the water.
Years of drought also likely exacerbated the flooding.

Officials comb through the banks of the Guadalupe River on Saturday after a flash flood swept through the area in Hunt, Texas.
Kerr County, for example, had been in extreme or exceptional drought for more than three years, aside from one four-week period last fall. That likely left the soil compacted, which caused water to run off instead of soaking into the ground, said Brad Rippey, a U.S. Department of Agriculture meteorologist.
Then, air from the warmer-than-normal Gulf of Mexico 鈥 a reflection of global warming 鈥 blew into the state with a higher water content than it would have had decades ago.
It all added up to "just a perfect storm of events" that caused a catastrophe, said Rippey. "There are things that had to come together to make this happen."

A child helps volunteers organize donations for victims of flash flooding in Texas on Monday inside the gym at Center Point Elementary in Center Point, Texas.
Photos: A look at the aftermath of the flooding in central Texas

A road sign for the Hunt Post Office lies on the the side of Highway 39 after the post office was destroyed by recent flooding along the Guadalupe River on Sunday, July 6, 2025, in Hunt, Texas. (AP Photo/Rodolfo Gonzalez)

Hayden Turner prays during church services at the Hunt Baptist Church on Sunday, July 6, 2025, in Hunt, Texas. The small town of Hunt sits on the bank of the Guadalupe River and was severely damaged by recent flooding. (AP Photo/Rodolfo Gonzalez)

People look through belongings on a camp trunk at Camp Mystic along the banks of the Guadalupe River after a flash flood swept through the area Sunday, July 6, 2025, in Hunt, Texas. (AP Photo/Julio Cortez)

A Texas Department of Public Safety official enters sleeping quarters at Camp Mystic along the banks of the Guadalupe River after a flash flood swept through the area Sunday, July 6, 2025, in Hunt, Texas. (AP Photo/Julio Cortez)

Avi Santos, 23, of San Antonio, Texas, reacts while stopping on the road alongside at Camp Mystic along the banks of the Guadalupe River after a flash flood swept through the area Sunday, July 6, 2025, in Hunt, Texas. (AP Photo/Julio Cortez)

Myra Zunker takes a moment while searching for her missing niece and nephew along the Guadalupe River on Sunday, July 6, 2025, in Hunt, Texas. (Jason Fochtman/Houston Chronicle via AP)

Ginger Turner, and her daughter, Hailey, right, pray during church services held at the Hunt Baptist Church on Sunday, July 6, 2025, in Hunt, Texas. Their small town sits on the bank of the Guadalupe River and was severely damaged by recent flooding. (AP Photo/Rodolfo Gonzalez)

The Hunt Store in Hunt, Texas, is roped off after severe damage from recent flooding along the Guadalupe River on Sunday, July 6, 2025. (AP Photo/Rodolfo Gonzalez)

Members of the Texas A&M Task Force 1 Search & Rescue inspect the Cade Loop bridge along the Guadalupe River on Saturday, July 5, 2025, in Ingram, Texas. (AP Photo/Rodolfo Gonzalez)

First responders from College Station Fire Department search along the banks of the Guadalupe River, as rescue efforts continue following extreme flooding, Sunday, July 6, 2025, in Ingram, Texas. (AP Photo/Rodolfo Gonzalez)

First responders from College Station Fire Department search along the banks of the Guadalupe River, as rescue efforts continue following extreme flooding, Sunday, July 6, 2025, in Ingram, Texas. (AP Photo/Rodolfo Gonzalez)

Officials search on the grounds of Camp Mystic along the banks of the Guadalupe River after a flash flood swept through the area Sunday, July 6, 2025, in Hunt, Texas. (AP Photo/Julio Cortez)

Officials comb through the banks of the Guadalupe River after a flash flood swept through the area Saturday, July 5, 2025, in Hunt, Texas. (AP Photo/Julio Cortez)

Officials comb through the banks of the Guadalupe River after a flash flood swept through the area Saturday, July 5, 2025, in Hunt, Texas. (AP Photo/Julio Cortez)

Crews work to clear debris from the Cade Loop bridge along the Guadalupe River on Saturday, July 5, 2025, in Ingram, Texas. (AP Photo/Rodolfo Gonzalez)

A Sheriff's deputy pauses while combing through the banks of the Guadalupe River near Camp Mystic after a flash flood swept through the area Saturday, July 5, 2025, in Hunt, Texas. (AP Photo/Julio Cortez)

A Camp Mystic sign is seen near the entrance to the establishment along the banks of the Guadalupe River after a flash flood swept through the area in Hunt, Texas, Saturday, July 5, 2025. (AP Photo/Julio Cortez)

A person reacts while looking at the belongings outside sleeping quarters at Camp Mystic along the banks of the Guadalupe River after a flash flood swept through the area Sunday, July 6, 2025, in Hunt, Texas. (AP Photo/Julio Cortez)

Volunteers search for missing people along the banks of the Guadalupe River after recent flooding on Sunday, July 6, 2025, in Hunt, Texas. (AP Photo/Rodolfo Gonzalez)

Rescue workers are seen a boat as they search for missing people near Camp Mystic along the Guadalupe River after a flash flood swept through the area Sunday, July 6, 2025, in Hunt, Texas. (AP Photo/Julio Cortez)

Families are reunited at a reunification center after flash flooding hit the area, Friday, July 4, 2025, in Ingram, Texas. (AP Photo/Eric Gay)

First responders deliver people to a reunification center after flash flooding in the area, Friday, July 4, 2025, in Ingram, Texas. (AP Photo/Eric Gay)

A family portrait is caught in debris along the Guadalupe River after a flash flood struck the area, Friday, July 4, 2025, in Kerrville, Texas. (AP Photo/Eric Gay)

Onlookers survey damage along the Guadalupe River after a flash flood swept through the area, Friday, July 4, 2025, in Kerrville, Texas. (AP Photo/Eric Gay)

People climb over debris on a bridge atop the Guadalupe River after a flash flood swept through the area Saturday, July 5, 2025, in Ingram, Texas. (AP Photo/Julio Cortez)

A raging Guadalupe River leaves fallen trees and debris in its wake, Friday, July 4, 2025, in Kerrville, Texas. (AP Photo/Eric Gay)

A man surveys damage left by a raging Guadalupe River, Friday, July 4, 2025, in Kerrville, Texas. (AP Photo/Eric Gay)

CORRECTS DAY - First responders scan the banks of the Guadalupe River for individuals swept away by flooding in Ingram, Texas, Friday, July 4, 2025. (Michel Fortier/The San Antonio Express-News via AP)

Thomas Rux, a resident of Riverside RV Park, goes through the wreckage of his RV that was swept away by floodwaters in Ingram, Texas, on Friday, July 4, 2025. (Christopher Lee/The San Antonio Express-News via AP)